538 Presidential Forecast 2024. Predictions for the 2024 presidential election. — silver's forecast model gives trump a 60.1 percent chance of winning the electoral college, compared to vice president kamala harris' 39.7 percent, with the.
— data for fivethirtyeight’s previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 republican primary averages is available for download here. — 2024 presidential forecast and predictions.